Construction activity January 2024: North East

Detailed planning approvals, main contract awards and project starts all performed poorly against the preceding three months and last year’s figures.

North East overview

Adding up to £713m, work starting on-site in the North East during the three months to January fell 30 per cent against the preceding three months to stand 53 per cent down on a year ago. Major projects (£100m or more in value) commencing on-site totalled £150m, unchanged from the previous three months and 82 down on the previous year. Underlying project starts (less than £100m) increased one per cent against the preceding three months on a seasonally adjusted (SA) basis but fell 18 per cent compared with a year ago.

Main contract awards in the North East fell 45 per cent during the three months and decreased 50 per cent against the previous year to total £547m. There were no major project approvals during the period, a decrease from the preceding three months and the previous year. Underlying contract awards fell 18 per cent (SA) on the preceding three months and decreased 26 per cent on the previous year.

Totalling £1.1bn, detailed planning approvals decreased 33 per cent against the preceding three months and 34 per cent compared with the previous year. Underlying detailed planning approvals increased 16 per cent against the preceding three months to stand nine per cent up on the previous year, totalling £950m. Major projects granted detailed planning consents totalled £150m, 83 per cent lower compared with the preceding three months, to stand 81 per cent down on the previous year.

Sector analysis: project starts

Private housing accounted for 34 per cent of work starting on-site in the North East during the three months to January with the value adding up to £244m, making it the most active sector despite having experienced a 28 per cent decrease against a year ago. Industrial at £26m also experienced a steep decline, with the value of project starts falling 95 per cent against last year’s levels to account for a four per cent share.

Elsewhere, infrastructure accounted for a 28 per cent share of project starts, with the sector having doubled compared with a year ago to total £196m. The sector was boosted by the £150m Darlington Station Improvement Program Grip 5/ES. Accounting for 11 per cent of project starts, health also experienced a strong performance against the previous year with the value of project starts totalling £80m, having increased tenfold on a year ago. Offices jumped 791 per cent against last year to total £48m, a seven per cent share of project starts in the region.

Value of project starts in the North East during the three months to January 2024 by sector

Sector Value of Project-Starts (£m) Change on previous year Change on two years ago %Share
Private Housing 244 -28% -41% 34%
Infrastructure 196 123% -58% 28%
Health 80 989% 302% 11%
Offices 48 791% 14% 7%
Hotel & Leisure 36 660% 16% 5%
Community & Amenity 30 104% 23% 4%
Utilities 27 -81% 158% 4%
Industrial 26 -95% -77% 4%
Retail 12 -84% -16% 2%
Social Housing 9 -97% -29% 1%
Education 6 -61% -82% 1%
Total 713 -53% -40%

Sector analysis: detailed planning approvals

Private Housing accounted for the largest share of detailed planning approvals (42 per cent) during the three months to January. The sector increased five per cent against last year to total £461m. Infrastructure at £167m grew nearly 14 times against last year to account for a 15 per cent share of the total value.

Hotel & Leisure at £105m also experienced a strong performance, with the value of project approvals increasing 371 per cent against a year ago to account for a ten per cent share. Social housing doubled against the previous year to total £84m, accounting for eight per cent of the total value. In contrast, accounting for a tenth of approvals, industrial slipped back 79 per cent to total £113m.

Value of detailed planning approvals in the North East during the three months to January 2024 by sector

Sector Value of Project-Approvals (£m) Change on previous year Change on two years ago %Share
Private Housing 461 5% 90% 42%
Infrastructure 167 1294% 15% 15%
Industrial 113 -79% 180% 10%
Hotel & Leisure 105 371% 183% 10%
Education 89 -7% 91% 8%
Social Housing 84 123% 98% 8%
Retail 43 -16% -2% 4%
Health 14 -94% -86% 1%
Utilities 10 -95% 16% 1%
Offices 9 -11% -94% 1%
Community & Amenity 3 -70% -93% 0%
Total 1100 -34% 20%

Forecast construction starts for the North East

Underlying project-starts (£m) Change on previous year
Quarter 1, 2021 537 -5%
Quarter 2, 2021 540 46%
Quarter 3, 2021 693 26%
Quarter 4, 2021 244 -39%
Quarter 1, 2022 711 32%
Quarter 2, 2022 835 55%
Quarter 3, 2022 951 37%
Quarter 4, 2022 500 105%
Quarter 1, 2023 631 -11%
Quarter 2, 2023 832 0%
Quarter 3, 2023 894 -6%
Quarter 4, 2023 608 22%
Quarter 1, 2024 p 583 -8%
Quarter 2, 2024 f 701 -16%
Quarter 3, 2024 f 706 -21%
Quarter 4, 2024 f 446 -27%
Note: Underlying projects are schemes with a construction value of £250,000 to £100m. Forecast updated in February 2024 p – provisional, f – forecast. Source: Glenigan

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Glenigan - celebrating its 50th anniversary this year - is CN Intelligence's partner for UK construction project data, market analysis and company intelligence.

Glenigan combines comprehensive information gathering with expert analysis to provide intelligence on all construction sectors, including private and social housing, education, health, hotel and leisure, industrial, infrastructure, offices, retail, and utilities, and across all regions of the UK and Ireland.

Find out more: www.glenigan.com

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